Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 357.122682 406.005985 460.645097 526.523572 604.167658 693.216624 803.716756
2025-07-27 285.859217 349.547158 427.396001 530.677848 665.794056 838.927529 1081.469403
2025-08-03 240.703362 307.810816 394.541590 516.875058 688.308499 925.174708 1286.606206
2025-08-10 210.048573 278.239766 370.360107 506.901400 709.435406 1007.689410 1497.887527
2025-08-17 194.415703 265.868485 366.371424 522.346447 766.459299 1148.712412 1824.822931
2025-08-24 177.079663 248.550120 352.475741 520.078589 794.615612 1247.965680 2103.692912
2025-08-31 161.215122 231.380786 336.371104 511.455883 810.030428 1327.176718 2363.323934
2025-09-07 150.280166 220.318148 328.033563 513.591747 842.794595 1440.801736 2713.991638
2025-09-14 138.163930 206.177615 313.215379 502.750008 850.607204 1509.224322 2989.047162
2025-09-21 129.480939 196.617972 304.706710 501.427403 875.034267 1612.995099 3366.715275
2025-09-28 118.243626 181.959174 286.343538 480.394899 858.902026 1631.973305 3553.795673
2025-10-05 115.203219 180.518655 290.103637 499.865293 924.507152 1833.700891 4245.021716
2025-10-12 112.457137 179.499703 294.763602 522.176792 1000.843824 2078.514161 5145.378659
2025-10-19 106.978718 173.341421 289.738823 525.200628 1037.200653 2240.066349 5878.753656
2025-10-26 99.766358 163.559039 277.210529 511.690087 1034.921264 2307.052457 6352.882972
2025-11-02 93.722935 155.419174 267.031977 501.823830 1039.416732 2392.332659 6921.226599
2025-11-09 91.333243 153.702425 268.786917 517.082653 1105.156717 2654.632785 8215.056481
2025-11-16 87.061023 148.193752 262.746151 514.842257 1128.120614 2804.602415 9173.339113
2025-11-23 82.441199 141.718536 254.284315 506.324446 1134.057335 2907.084413 9998.429624
2025-11-30 79.317501 137.865588 250.728991 508.434364 1167.767870 3101.791719 11320.513750
2025-12-07 75.125989 131.692490 242.002789 497.724079 1165.837107 3184.858397 12192.325111
2025-12-14 72.155632 127.710763 237.484207 496.417469 1189.483012 3357.916101 13606.492216
2025-12-21 67.572427 120.296496 225.308665 475.638133 1155.657066 3329.343993 13980.867247